So, folks, it looks as though we are going to have an election. Nothing official so I guess we are in the official unofficial period before the actual election is called. The Conservatives (Cons hereafter) have already started their attack ads. It looks like the Liberals are in complete disarray and don’t stand a chance in hell of even getting a minority government….but…you never know what can happen and I would argue (and seriously hope) that Stephane Dion has been completely underestimated.
Now, the skeptics among you would definately laugh at me. I think the man needs serious pressure to actually accomplish something. Look at what he did in the Liberal Leadership Race. He was not expected to win it – he was fourth when the convention started behind an ex-hockey player. Yet somehow, through guile and wit he pulled it off. Granted he needed three votes to actually win it but he does have cred as a dragon slayer. He took down Michael Ignatieff and Bob Rae both formidable politicial opponents. To their credit, they have remained loyal to him even though he took them out, so to speak.
Another thing about minority governments (here is where that Masters degree in history comes in handy) in Canada is that the party that forces the election generally pays at the polls. This realty combined with the fact that the Liberals were in shape to have an election has kept Stephane from pulling the plug. It has made him look like a patsy. I am hoping this is strategy on his part. He certainly didn’t look like leadership material going into the convention and he was seriously underestimated by his opponents. I seriously hope the Cons and Harpie make the same mistake. They are just arrogant enough (somewhat like Michael Ignatieff) that this is a real possibility.
One can also hope that one of Harper’s right-wing nutbars will shoot his or her mouth off creating a big gaffe for Harper to deal with. It is one thing to control a tight group of caucus members, it is quite another to control every candidate in every far flung area in Canada. I believe this is a reasonable hope as right wingers have a penchant for doing this kind of thing. Which is why Harper has kept such a tight lid on his caucus.
We shall all now start wishing and hoping (praying, meditating..whatever works for you!!) for a Liberal Minority Government.
I am going to hope that Stephane is going to be the little Liberal who could…either that or I am completely delusional and will require serious medication.